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Producer prices held flat, but core pressure stayed firm

July producer prices were unchanged, a core measure rose 0.4%, the 10-year Treasury was near 4.67%, and the latest daily Conventional index was 6.74%.

Historical market commentary · Figures and conditions reflect the source edition, not a current quote.

Quick answers

Open a question. Read the answer right here.

What did July producer prices show?

Final demand prices were unchanged for the month and up 4.7% over the year. The less-food-energy-and-trade measure rose 0.4% for the month and 4.7% over the year.

What rates and APRs were reported at publication?

For the disclosed benchmark scenario: Conventional 6.75% rate and 6.918% APR, FHA 6.25% rate and 6.906% APR, and VA 6.125% rate and 6.417% APR.

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Illustrative editorial image about Producer prices held flat, but core pressure stayed firm
AI-generated editorial illustration.
10-year Treasury 4.67% Near release time
PPI, monthly 0.0% July headline
Conventional index 6.74% Latest daily observation
Core PPI, monthly +0.4% Less food, energy, and trade
Rate direction Holding near recent levels

Market context for August 13, 2026. The flat headline limited the immediate shock, but firm core prices kept the inflation signal mixed.

What gets the next vote? Bonds and incoming data

Treasury supply and later inflation reports can reinforce or reverse the initial response.

A note about rates: The representative rate and APR observations below use the disclosed benchmark scenario and are not a borrower quote, offer, commitment, locked rate, or guarantee.

The morning story in one minute

July producer prices were unchanged for the month as a 0.7% decline in goods offset a 0.2% rise in services and a 2.2% increase in construction.

The less-food-energy-and-trade measure rose 0.4%. Both headline and core producer prices were 4.7% higher than a year ago. The 10-year Treasury was near 4.67% around the release.

Where mortgage rates sit

For the disclosed representative scenario, Conventional was 6.75% with a 6.918% APR, FHA was 6.25% with a 6.906% APR, and VA was 6.125% with a 6.417% APR.

The representative Conventional rate was 0.16 percentage points above last Thursday's 6.59%. The latest broad daily Conventional index was 6.74%, within a one-year range of 5.99% to 6.85%.

The headline was flat, but core pressure stayed firm

Lower energy and food prices pulled the goods index down, while services and construction moved higher. That made the headline look softer than the underlying core measure.

For mortgage markets, the release avoided a hotter headline surprise but did not create a clean case for sharply lower yields. Lender pricing can still change at different times.

Three things worth knowing

First, final demand prices were unchanged in July. Second, the core measure rose 0.4% for the month and 4.7% over the year. Third, the 10-year Treasury stayed near 4.67% around the release.

The mix matters because mortgage rates follow the bond market more directly than any single inflation statistic.

What this means for buyers and professionals

Active buyers can compare a fresh scenario with last week's numbers instead of reacting to the headline alone. Professionals can identify the payment or rate threshold that would actually change a client's decision, then update the scenario when pricing moves.

What did July producer prices show?

Final demand prices were unchanged for the month and up 4.7% over the year. The less-food-energy-and-trade measure rose 0.4% for the month and 4.7% over the year.

What rates and APRs were reported at publication?

For the disclosed benchmark scenario: Conventional 6.75% rate and 6.918% APR, FHA 6.25% rate and 6.906% APR, and VA 6.125% rate and 6.417% APR.

What remains unknown

Later bond-market movement, lender repricing, and future inflation reports remain unknown. Market conditions can change after publication. For today’s context, view the published mortgage rates or plan a comfortable payment.

Sources and timing

Keep exploring

Inflation matched forecasts, and bonds held steadyOil and Treasury yields rise before tomorrow's inflation reportAfter the jobs report, attention turns to CPI and PPI
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